{"id":173952,"date":"2023-10-14T05:05:54","date_gmt":"2023-10-13T23:35:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/?p=173952"},"modified":"2023-10-14T05:05:54","modified_gmt":"2023-10-13T23:35:54","slug":"what-to-expect-if-historical-bitcoin-halving-cycles-repeat-crypto-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/what-to-expect-if-historical-bitcoin-halving-cycles-repeat-crypto-news\/","title":{"rendered":"What To Expect If Historical Bitcoin Halving Cycles Repeat &#8211; Crypto News"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">It\u2019s been <\/span><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/analysis\/btc\/bitcoin-price-holds-ground-26500\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">quite a bearish week for Bitcoin<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, as the crypto has fallen around 3% since the beginning of the week. Price action, in particular, has had Bitcoin struggling to break above $27,000, indicating a potential risk of more losses below this resistance level in the near term.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">However, according to a crypto analyst, this current retracement might be the beginning of a historical Bitcoin cycle before each halving.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Analyst Shows Bitcoin Price Correction Based On Historical Trends<\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Crypto analyst Rekt Capital has said in a <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/rektcapital\/status\/1712601961546051878?s=20\">post<\/a> that if historical Bitcoin \u201chalving cycles\u201d are any indication, a major price correction could be right around the corner. The Bitcoin halving cuts the block reward for miners in half.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">This happens roughly every 4 years to slow the creation of new BTC and control inflation. Based on historical data from the previous two Bitcoin halvings, the price of BTC could drop by up to 38% before the next halving.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In a chart shared on X (formerly Twitter), Rekt Capital showed a major pull back has happened around six months before each halving. In the 2015 cycle, BTC retraced 25% 196 days before the 2016 halving.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In 2019, BTC retraced 38%, 196 days before the 2020 halving. So with the next halving slated to occur around April 2024, it would seem the market is now in a prime position for the next correction.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><\/span><\/p>\n<pre style=\"text-align: center\">Previous halving trends | Source: X<\/pre>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Bitcoin is currently <\/span><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/why-bitcoin-could-explode-beyond-all-time-high-2024\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">60% below its all-time high<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, following a similar pattern with past halvings. 200 days before the 2020 halving, BTC was 60% below its <\/span><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/why-bitcoin-could-explode-beyond-all-time-high-2024\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">all-time high<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. Likewise, 200 days before the 2016 halving, BTC was 65% below its <\/span><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/why-bitcoin-could-explode-beyond-all-time-high-2024\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">all-time high<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2>What A Correction Would Mean For BTC<\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Bitcoin\u2019s price direction is currently uncertain, especially as on-chain transactions on the blockchain are now at a three-month low. On-chain metrics have shown that <\/span><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-on-chain-transactions-all-time-low\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">95% of Bitcoin\u2019s circulating supply<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> hasn\u2019t changed hands in the past month, as investors seem to be holding on to the cryptocurrency in anticipation of the SEC\u2019s <\/span><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/tick-tock-on-bitcoin-etf-3-6-months-until-approval\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Although past performance doesn\u2019t always repeat, if this pattern shows up again before the next halving, Bitcoin could be in for a big correction. With the current price of BTC now at $26,770, a 38% retracement could see BTC fall below $18,000. If this happens, it would be devastating for BTC holders.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Even though a price correction may be on the horizon, Bitcoin\u2019s long-term growth prospects remain strong. Over the past decade, Bitcoin has shown a consistent upward trend as the largest crypto by market cap despite facing several setbacks.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Bitcoin has been named the <\/span><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-dominates-2023-surges-past-stocks-and-bonds-with-63-ytd-growth\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">best performer this year<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> in terms of asset investing by Reflexivity, a digital asset research firm. According to billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones, this is the <\/span><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/legendary-investor-now-time-buy-bitcoin\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">best time to buy BTC.\u00a0<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/EY1L5huR\/\" alt=\"Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com\" width=\"2804\" height=\"1746\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n<pre style=\"text-align: center\">BTC price at $26,782 | Source: <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/Tradingview.com\">BTCUSD on Tradingview.com<\/a><\/pre>\n<p>Featured image from Asia Crypto Today, chart from Tradingview.com<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It\u2019s been quite a bearish week for Bitcoin, as the crypto has fallen around 3% since the beginning of the week. Price action, in particular, has had Bitcoin struggling to break above $27,000, indicating a potential risk of more losses below this resistance level in the near term.\u00a0 However, according to a crypto analyst, this [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":173953,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[235,203,210,234,231,232,237,238,236,233],"class_list":["post-173952","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blockchain","tag-bitcoin","tag-crypto-currency","tag-elon-musk","tag-ethereum","tag-hyperledger","tag-ibm","tag-mining","tag-nodes","tag-spacex","tag-tesla"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173952","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=173952"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173952\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":173955,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173952\/revisions\/173955"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/173953"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=173952"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=173952"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=173952"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}