{"id":186875,"date":"2023-11-03T22:42:22","date_gmt":"2023-11-03T17:12:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/?p=186875"},"modified":"2023-11-03T22:42:22","modified_gmt":"2023-11-03T17:12:22","slug":"mexican-peso-rises-on-weak-us-economic-data-sparking-speculation-of-eased-fed-policy-crypto-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/mexican-peso-rises-on-weak-us-economic-data-sparking-speculation-of-eased-fed-policy-crypto-news\/","title":{"rendered":"Mexican peso rises on weak US economic data sparking speculation of eased Fed policy &#8211; Crypto News"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div id=\"fxs_article_content\">\n<p>\n                        <span class=\"fxs_socialmedia_bar_share_label\">Share:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Mexican Peso gains as US Nonfarm Payrolls expand by only 150K, missing the 180K forecast.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Weak US jobs report fuels speculation of multiple Fed rate cuts in 2024, as futures markets indicate.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>USD\/MXN reacts to US labor market cooling, with the Peso hitting a two-month high and US Dollar Index falling.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Mexican Peso (MXN) extends its gains against the US Dollar (USD) in early trading during the North American session after a jobs report in the <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fxstreet.com\/economic-calendar\/united-states\">United States<\/a> (US) surprisingly misses estimates, portraying a labor market that is further cooling. Traders are now disregarding the chances of the Federal Reserve (Fed) raising interest rates, speculating instead that the Fed could slash rates four times in 2024, according to money market futures. Consequently, the USD\/MXN is plunging more than 0.50%, on the day, trading at 17.40.<\/p>\n<p>Before Wall Street opened, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed October Nonfarm Payrolls expanded by 150K, which was below forecasts of 180K, and 140K fewer jobs than the previous month. Additional data showed the Unemployment Rate rising above estimates, while Average Hourly Earnings ticked up compared to analysts&#8217; projections, but it was below September\u2019s data.<\/p>\n<p>The data comes after Federal Reserve Chairman <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fxstreet.com\/macroeconomics\/central-banks\/fed\">Jerome Powell<\/a> and Co. decided to keep the federal funds rate at the 5.25%-5.50% range for the second consecutive meeting and failed to strike a hawkish message. This could be witnessed by market players&#8217; reaction, sending US equities higher, the US Dollar tumbling, and US bond yields falling.<\/p>\n<p>The USD\/MXN plummeted after the data fell to a two-month low at 17.28, while US Bond yields, namely the 10-year benchmark Note, plunged 17 basis points toward the 4.48% area before trimming some of its losses. The American Dollar (USD), as measured by <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fxstreet.com\/currencies\/us-dollar-index\">the US Dollar Index<\/a>, drops 0.81%, down at 105.29.<\/p>\n<p>Recently, the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) revealed that the Non-Manufacturing PMI expanded at a 51.8 pace, suggesting that business activity is cooling compared to last month\u2019s and market players\u2019 forecasts.<\/p>\n<p>In the meantime, Mexico\u2019s economic calendar revealed that Gross Fixed Investment, on a monthly and annual basis, was better than expected in August compared to the prior month\u2019s data.<\/p>\n<p>Of note, traders should be aware of geopolitical issues after Hezbollah&#8217;s leader said that \u201cFurther escalation on the Lebanese front is a realistic possibility.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"fxs_headline_medium\">Daily digest movers: Mexican Peso rallies sharply more than 2.70% weekly against the US Dollar<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>US October Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 150K, below 180K forecasts, and trailed September\u2019s 297K.<\/li>\n<li>The Unemployment Rate in the US jumped above estimates from 3.8% to 3.9%.<\/li>\n<li>Average Hourly Earnings decreased from 4.3% to 4.1% but ticked up against 4.0% projections.<\/li>\n<li>ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI slowed from 53.6 to 51.8, missing expectations for a 53 deceleration.<\/li>\n<li>Mexico\u2019s Gross Fixed Investment grew 3.1% monthly in August, compared to a 0.5% expansion in July. Annually based, it expanded by 32.0%, higher than the prior month\u2019s 28.2%.<\/li>\n<li>US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 28 rose by 217K, exceeding estimates and the previous week&#8217;s figures at 210K and 212K, respectively.<\/li>\n<li>The ISM Manufacturing PMI dropped to contractionary territory at 46.7 in October, below forecasts and September\u2019s 49 reading.<\/li>\n<li>Mexico S&amp;P Global October Manufacturing PMI came out at 52.1, above September\u2019s 49.8.<\/li>\n<li>Mexico\u2019s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 0.9% QoQ in the third quarter on its preliminary reading, above the previous quarter and estimates of 0.8%.<\/li>\n<li>On a yearly basis, Mexico\u2019s GDP for Q3 expanded by 3.3%, above forecasts of 3.2% but trailing the previous 3.6%.<\/li>\n<li>According to Enki Research, a firm specializing in natural disasters, the first estimates of Hurricane Otis&#8217;s costs of damage in Mexico are around $10 to 15 billion.<\/li>\n<li>On October 24, Mexico&#8217;s National Statistics Agency, INEGI, reported annual headline inflation hit 4.27%, down from 4.45% at the end of September, below forecasts of 4.38%.<\/li>\n<li>Mexico\u2019s core inflation rate YoY was 5.54%, beneath forecasts of 5.60%.<\/li>\n<li>The Bank of Mexico (Banxico) held rates at 11.25% in September and revised its inflation projections from 3.50% to 3.87% for 2024, above the central bank\u2019s 3.00% target (plus or minus 1%). The next decision will be announced on November 9.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 class=\"fxs_headline_medium\">Technical Analysis: Mexican Peso buyers regain control as USD\/MXN hovers around the 100-day SMA<\/h2>\n<p>The USD\/MXN finally plunged below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 17.70, extending its losses past the 50-day SMA at 17.61. With that said, on Thursday, the pair closed below those two crucial support levels, extending its slide below the September 29 daily low at 17.34, followed by a breach of the 100-day SMA at 17.30 to print a daily low of 17.28. A daily close below the 100-day SMA would expose the 17.00 psychological figure, followed by August\u2019s 28 low of 16.69.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, if USD\/MXN buyers stepped in and reclaimed the 50-day SMA, that could form a \u2018bullish piercing pattern\u2019 two-candle pattern, which could open the door to a recovery above the 200-day SMA at 17.70.<\/p>\n<p><!--FAQ CONTENT MODULE STARTS HERE--><\/p>\n<div data-cnt-module-topic=\"banxico\" data-cnt-module-type=\"faq\" id=\"content-module-faq-banxico\">\n<div class=\"fxs-content-module-wrapper\">\n<h2 class=\"fxs-content-module-title\">Banxico FAQs<\/h2>\n<section class=\"fxs-content-module-section\">\n<p class=\"fxs-content-module-content\">The Bank of Mexico, also known as Banxico, is the country\u2019s central bank. Its mission is to preserve the value of Mexico\u2019s currency, the Mexican Peso (MXN), and to set the monetary policy. To this end, its main objective is to maintain low and stable inflation within target levels \u2013 at or close to its target of 3%, the midpoint in a tolerance band of between 2% and 4%.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"fxs-content-module-section\">\n<p class=\"fxs-content-module-content\">The main tool of the Banxico to guide monetary policy is by setting interest rates. When inflation is above target, the bank will attempt to tame it by raising rates, making it more expensive for households and businesses to borrow money and thus cooling the economy. Higher interest rates are generally positive for the Mexican Peso (MXN) as they lead to higher yields, making the country a more attractive place for investors. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken MXN. The rate differential with the USD, or how the Banxico is expected to set interest rates compared with the US Federal Reserve (Fed), is a key factor.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"fxs-content-module-section\">\n<p class=\"fxs-content-module-content\">Banxico meets eight times a year, and its monetary policy is greatly influenced by decisions of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Therefore, the central bank\u2019s decision-making committee usually gathers a week after the Fed. In doing so, Banxico reacts and sometimes anticipates monetary policy measures set by the Federal Reserve. For example, after the Covid-19 pandemic, before the Fed raised rates, Banxico did it first in an attempt to diminish the chances of a substantial depreciation of the Mexican Peso (MXN) and to prevent capital outflows that could destabilize the country.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--FAQ CONTENT MODULE ENDS HERE--><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Share: Mexican Peso gains as US Nonfarm Payrolls expand by only 150K, missing the 180K forecast. Weak US jobs report fuels speculation of multiple Fed rate cuts in 2024, as futures markets indicate. USD\/MXN reacts to US labor market cooling, with the Peso hitting a two-month high and US Dollar Index falling. Mexican Peso (MXN) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":59046,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[173],"tags":[201,248,251,246,257,276,2070,255,250,252,247,253,249,5212,871,256,254],"class_list":["post-186875","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-others","tag-blockchain","tag-bsc","tag-chainlink","tag-coin","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-currencies","tag-emergingmarkets","tag-gta","tag-looks-rare","tag-oracle","tag-polygon","tag-quickswap","tag-safe-moon","tag-seo","tag-usdmxn","tag-wallet","tag-wordpress"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/186875","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=186875"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/186875\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":186877,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/186875\/revisions\/186877"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59046"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=186875"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=186875"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=186875"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}