\n
\n Share:<\/span><\/p>\nIt has become increasingly likely that Donald Trump will be the Republican candidate in the presidential election in the fall and that there will be a repeat of the 2020 duel: Joe Biden against Donald Trump. Economists at Commerzbank analyze how a Trump victory could impact stock markets.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Another stock market rally?<\/h2>\n\nIn November 2016, the stock markets reacted positively to Donald Trump’s election victory, as the new US president promised companies lower taxes and less regulation, among other things. However, a number of factors suggest that the stock markets would not welcome a Trump election winner with similar euphoria.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n
\nFor example, share valuations in 2024 are significantly higher than in 2016, when investors paid a price\/earnings ratio (P\/E ratio) of 17 for the S&P 500 and 18 for the Nasdaq 100, while the current S&P 500 P\/E ratio is 20 and the Nasdaq 100 P\/E ratio is 25.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n
\nIn addition, there was a high level of uncertainty and nervousness in the stock market in 2016 in the run-up to the presidential election, and the implied volatility VIX for the S&P 500 was regularly above 20. We see the current VIX level of 13 as a signal that many investors are quite carefree about Trump winning the election in 2024.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n
\nWe expect that a possible Trump election victory in 2024 will not have as strong an impact on the stock markets as in 2016.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n
\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Share: It has become increasingly likely that Donald Trump will be the Republican candidate in the presidential election in the fall and that there will be a repeat of the 2020 duel: Joe Biden against Donald Trump. Economists at Commerzbank analyze how a Trump victory could impact stock markets.\u00a0 Another stock market rally? In November […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":236673,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[173],"tags":[299,201,248,251,246,257,307,255,250,252,247,253,249,456,4491,16477,256,254],"class_list":["post-244763","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-others","tag-banks","tag-blockchain","tag-bsc","tag-chainlink","tag-coin","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-equities","tag-gta","tag-looks-rare","tag-oracle","tag-polygon","tag-quickswap","tag-safe-moon","tag-sp500","tag-us-elections","tag-vix","tag-wallet","tag-wordpress"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/244763","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=244763"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/244763\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":244768,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/244763\/revisions\/244768"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/236673"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=244763"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=244763"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=244763"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}