{"id":251107,"date":"2024-02-21T03:10:19","date_gmt":"2024-02-20T21:40:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/?p=251107"},"modified":"2024-02-21T03:10:19","modified_gmt":"2024-02-20T21:40:19","slug":"heres-a-rational-bitcoin-price-prediction-for-this-cycle-according-to-trader-who-called-may-2021-collapse-crypto-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/heres-a-rational-bitcoin-price-prediction-for-this-cycle-according-to-trader-who-called-may-2021-collapse-crypto-news\/","title":{"rendered":"Here\u2019s a Rational Bitcoin Price Prediction for This Cycle, According to Trader Who Called May 2021 Collapse &#8211; Crypto News"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>The trader who accurately called the May 2021 crypto market crash is predicting a price pattern for Bitcoin (<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/dailyhodl.com\/currencies\/bitcoin\/\">BTC<\/a>) in the current market cycle using a model with historical reliability.<\/p>\n<p>Pseudonymous analyst Dave the Wave <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/davthewave\/status\/1759032957388587381\">tells<\/a> his 145,100 followers on the social media platform X that he expects Bitcoin to continue to trade within the upper and lower bounds of his version of the logarithmic growth curve (LGC).<\/p>\n<p>The LGC is an investing model that aims to forecast Bitcoin\u2019s market cycle highs and lows while filtering out short-term volatility.<\/p>\n<p>According to Dave the Wave, it makes much more sense for Bitcoin to continue trading within the LGC in the long term as opposed to invalidating the model that has stood the test of time so far.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cThe speculators in this space can roughly be divided into those that believe in diminishing returns and those that don\u2019t. Adherents to the DM (diminishing marginal returns) principle would roughly agree that price will track the channel as sketched in the first chart. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Those rejecting the principle see price transgressing it as in something like the second chart, and possibly breaking to both sides. The first seems a lot more rational to me for at least it has something empirical and historical to go on.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The analyst first shares a chart suggesting that BTC will print higher highs and higher lows over the years while trading inside the LGC.<\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 1835px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Dave the Wave\/X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Dave the Wave\u2019s second chart shows BTC breaking above the upper bound of the LGC before witnessing a steep corrective move that sends the crypto king below the lower bound of the model.<\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 1835px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"css-9pa8cd\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/GGlW_xtbYAAnNZz?format=jpg&amp;name=large\" alt=\"Image\" width=\"1835\" height=\"859\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Dave the Wave\/X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The trader also uses the Fibonacci extensions to <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/davthewave\/status\/1758948126721986980\">predict<\/a> a $180,000 price target for BTC in 2025. Fibonacci extensions are used in technical analysis to estimate profit targets and price pullbacks. They are based on Fibonacci ratios.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cBTC Fib extension gives target of $180,000.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 1835px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"css-9pa8cd\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/GGkJ8CkaIAAVH55?format=jpg&amp;name=large\" alt=\"Image\" width=\"1835\" height=\"859\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Dave the Wave\/X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Bitcoin is trading for $51,966 at time of writing, up 4% in the past seven days.<\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-size: 13pt\">Don&#8217;t Miss a Beat \u2013 <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/dailyhodl.com\/join-the-daily-hodl-email-list\/\">Subscribe<\/a> to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox <\/span><\/em><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<em><span style=\"font-size: 13pt\">Check <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/dailyhodl.com\/crypto-markets\/\">Price Action<\/a><\/span><\/em><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<em><span style=\"font-size: 13pt\">Follow us on <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheDailyHodl\">Twitter<\/a>, <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/thedailyhodl\/\">Facebook<\/a> and <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/thedailyhodl\">Telegram<\/a><\/span><\/em><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<em><span style=\"font-size: 13pt\">Surf <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/dailyhodl.com\/daily-hodl-mix\">The Daily Hodl Mix<\/a><\/span><\/em><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"hideinamp\">\n<p><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"maxbutton-4 maxbutton maxbutton-check-out-the-latest-headlines-bigger\" href=\"https:\/\/dailyhodl.com\/news\/\"><span class=\"mb-text\">Check Latest News Headlines<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&amp;nbsp<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/dailyhodl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Get-Alerts-728x90.png\" width=\"800\" height=\"99\" \/><\/p>\n<h6>Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any loses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.<\/h6>\n<\/div>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-size: 10pt\">Generated Image: Midjourney<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The trader who accurately called the May 2021 crypto market crash is predicting a price pattern for Bitcoin (BTC) in the current market cycle using a model with historical reliability. Pseudonymous analyst Dave the Wave tells his 145,100 followers on the social media platform X that he expects Bitcoin to continue to trade within the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":251108,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[173],"tags":[201,248,251,246,257,255,250,252,247,253,249,256,254],"class_list":["post-251107","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-others","tag-blockchain","tag-bsc","tag-chainlink","tag-coin","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-gta","tag-looks-rare","tag-oracle","tag-polygon","tag-quickswap","tag-safe-moon","tag-wallet","tag-wordpress"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/251107","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=251107"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/251107\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":251110,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/251107\/revisions\/251110"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/251108"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=251107"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=251107"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=251107"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}