{"id":275359,"date":"2024-04-01T18:56:10","date_gmt":"2024-04-01T13:26:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/?p=275359"},"modified":"2024-04-01T18:56:10","modified_gmt":"2024-04-01T13:26:10","slug":"the-bitcoin-halving-is-19-days-away-how-did-btc-perform-in-past-cycles-crypto-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/the-bitcoin-halving-is-19-days-away-how-did-btc-perform-in-past-cycles-crypto-news\/","title":{"rendered":"The Bitcoin Halving Is 19 Days Away \u2014 How Did BTC Perform In Past Cycles? &#8211; Crypto News"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<p>BTC posted new all-time highs seven months after past halvings.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>The markets are trending sideways as Bitcoin\u2019s fourth quadrennial halving is now just 19 days away.<\/p>\n<p>The event, which will reduce the rate of new Bitcoin issuance to 3.125 BTC per block from 6.25 BTC, has historically been followed by unprecedented bullish momentum kicking off later in the same year.<\/p>\n<p>But traders appear uncertain as to what the\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/thedefiant.io\/the-year-of-the-fourth-bitcoin-halving\">next halving<\/a>\u00a0will bring, with BTC gaining just 2.6% over the past 14 days. Still, Bitcoin has retained most of the gains from its meteoric run into\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/thedefiant.io\/bitcoin-goes-into-price-discovery-skyrockets-past-usd72-000\">all-time highs<\/a>\u00a0following the\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/thedefiant.io\/bitcoin-etfs-have-record-debut-with-over-usd6b-traded\">launch of spot ETFs<\/a>\u00a0in January, according to CoinGecko.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin\u2019s third halving<\/h2>\n<p>On Apr. 22, 2020, 19 days before the last Bitcoin halving, BTC was changing hands at $6,842, with the markets trending mid-range after trading between $6,420 and $7,340 throughout the month of April 2020.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin went on to rally by 44% in 17 days and tagged a local high of $9,822 on May 9, with opportunistic sellers pushing the price back to $8,752 come the third halving on May 11, 2020. BTC then dipped to $8,600 the following day, and has never traded at a lower level since.<\/p>\n<figure><figcaption class=\"text-center text-xs\">BTC\/USD 2020 price action. Source: CoinGecko<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>However, the bullish momentum surrounding the third halving occurred under very different macroeconomic circumstances, with cryptocurrencies suffering a violent pullback alongside mainstream markets just one month prior as the United States entered a state of national emergency and instituted travel bans in response to the Covid-19 pandemic in March 2020.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin had abruptly crashed to an 11-month low of $5,030 on March 17, 2020, marking a 51% pull-back in less than five weeks. The sharp decline left Bitcoin ripe for a bounce leading up to the previous halving, with BTC then going on to post new all-time highs seven months later \u2014 contrasting dramatically from the five months of bullish momentum that produced record highs leading up to Bitcoin\u2019s next halving event.<\/p>\n<h2>The second halving<\/h2>\n<p>On June 20, 2016, 19 days before the second halving, the markets were starting to retrace from their pre-halving peak. Bitcoin was trading for $734 after dipping 4% in 24 hours, with the previous day\u2019s price action marking a 66% rally in four weeks.<\/p>\n<p><!--$--><\/p>\n<div class=\"relative flex items-center gap-2 rounded-md bg-[#191919] p-2 my-4 lg:hidden\">\n<div class=\"relative group  flex w-max items-center gap-2  p-2 text-sm text-white mx-auto\"><strong class=\"whitespace-nowrap w-min sm:w-auto bg-gradient-to-r from-[#9FF9D2] to-[#DB9FF9] bg-clip-text text-transparent\">DeFi Alpha<\/strong><span class=\"whitespace-nowrap  w-min sm:w-auto border-l border-white pl-1 lg:hidden\">Premium Content<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"tooltip font-heading shadow-cta absolute hidden lg:visible left-6 z-10 -top-[80px] w-max max-w-xs translate-y-full flex-col rounded-lg bg-[#EEEEF4] p-3 text-left text-xs text-black group-hover:flex lg:left-auto lg:right-4\">Looking for Alpha? Become a premium member of The Defiant and join our DeFi Alpha community.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"list-inside list-disc\">\n<li>DeFi Daily | Weekdays<\/li>\n<li>DeFi Alpha Letter | Weekly<\/li>\n<li>Defiant Podcast Transcript | Weekly<\/li>\n<li>Inbox Dump | Saturday<\/li>\n<li>Weekly Recap | Sunday<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/thedefiant.io\/go-premium#pricing\" class=\"disabled:bg-cta-disabled-background disabled:text-cta-disabled-text rounded font-semibold border-cta-primary-border bg-cta-primary-background text-cta-primary-text hover:border-cta-primary-border-hover hover:bg-cta-primary-background-hover ml-auto block p-2 text-center text-sm !text-black !no-underline shadow-newButton\">Start for free<\/a><\/div>\n<p><!--\/$--><\/p>\n<p>BTC had shed a further 11% as of the second halving on July 9, 2016, before dipping to a low of $517 on August 2 \u2014 comprising a 29.5% drop from June 20, 2020, and a 21% retracement since the halving. Bitcoin went on to tag new all-time highs in February 2017, seven months after the second halving.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"the-defiant\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"853\" height=\"518.8276670574443\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"mx-auto\" id='b' style='filter: url(%23b)' src=\"https:\/\/thedefiant.io\/_next\/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcdn.sanity.io%2Fimages%2F6oftkxoa%2Fproduction%2F0fc0791b4bec71ecedf6baf88407d96228c55ef3-853x461.png&amp;w=828&amp;q=100\" \/><figcaption class=\"text-center text-xs\">BTC\/USD price action in 2016. Source: CoinGecko.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>With the combined cryptocurrency capitalization having grown more than 23,300% from around $12 billion on June 20, 2016, today\u2019s digital asset sector is nearly unrecognizable in terms of size and adoption.<\/p>\n<p>Still, the 2016 cycle shows that Bitcoin is not immune from a post-halving pullback following sustained bullish momentum.<\/p>\n<p>Some analysts\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/consensus-magazine\/2024\/03\/28\/is-this-the-end-of-bitcoins-4-year-bullbear-market-cycle\/\">argue<\/a>\u00a0that the recent launch of spot ETFs has\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/consensus-magazine\/2024\/03\/28\/is-this-the-end-of-bitcoins-4-year-bullbear-market-cycle\/\">disrupted<\/a>\u00a0the rhythm of Bitcoin\u2019s mythologized four-year cycle, as evidenced by BTC\u2019s recent all-time highs. However, others\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cameron\/status\/1757908540768088480?lang=en\">suggest<\/a>\u00a0that the billions of dollars\u00a0<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/thedefiant.io\/two-bitcoin-etfs-land-in-top-10-january-etf-inflows\">flowing into<\/a>\u00a0spot Bitcoin ETFs serve to intensify the deflationary effect of the halving, and could overshadow it.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BTC posted new all-time highs seven months after past halvings. The markets are trending sideways as Bitcoin\u2019s fourth quadrennial halving is now just 19 days away. The event, which will reduce the rate of new Bitcoin issuance to 3.125 BTC per block from 6.25 BTC, has historically been followed by unprecedented bullish momentum kicking off [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":275360,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[274,273,272,244,266,271,268,270,269,267],"class_list":["post-275359","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-de-fi","tag-crypto-finance","tag-decentralized-finance","tag-liquidity","tag-metamask","tag-pancake","tag-slippage","tag-sushiswap","tag-tronlink","tag-trust-wallet","tag-uniswap"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/275359","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=275359"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/275359\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":275368,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/275359\/revisions\/275368"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/275360"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=275359"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=275359"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=275359"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}