{"id":390606,"date":"2025-04-28T11:34:27","date_gmt":"2025-04-28T06:04:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/bitcoin-flashed-greed-near-95k-are-you-walking-into-the-same-trap-as-last-cycle-crypto-news\/"},"modified":"2025-04-28T12:03:34","modified_gmt":"2025-04-28T06:33:34","slug":"bitcoin-flashed-greed-near-95k-are-you-walking-into-the-same-trap-as-last-cycle-crypto-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/bitcoin-flashed-greed-near-95k-are-you-walking-into-the-same-trap-as-last-cycle-crypto-news\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Flashed &#8220;Greed&#8221; Near $95k: Are You Walking Into the Same Trap as Last Cycle? &#8211; Crypto News"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Blasting past $90k looked good. Real good. But after cooling its heels a bit around the $93k-$94k mark, the big question echoes louder: Is this <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">really<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> the monster 2025 bull run starting, or are we just getting played again? Forget the hopium pipes and Tarot cards; let\u2019s get real and see what the charts, the chain data, and the ghosts of cycles past are actually screaming at us right now, late April 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Halving History: This Time Feels\u2026 Off?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Right, the Halving cycles. Bitcoin\u2019s built-in supply shock. Every four years, miner rewards get slashed \u2013 happened last around April 2024. Textbook Bitcoin says roughly a year later, we should be rocketing. Think 2013, 2017, 2021\u2026 explosive moves were well underway by now in those cycles.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But this time? Feels sluggish, percentage-wise. We\u2019re up, sure, but not <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">that<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> insane vertical climb history taught us to expect 12 months post-halving. Why? Take your pick: global economic jitters, those trade war rumblings, maybe the market\u2019s just maturing. Who truly knows?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Still, the core logic \u2013 less new supply hitting the market eventually means price goes up if people still want it \u2013 hasn\u2019t vanished. Plenty of charts floating around still point to late 2025, maybe early 2026, for the <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">real<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> peak, clinging to that classic 12-to-18-month post-halving window. Maybe the fuse is just burning slower this round. Or maybe history isn\u2019t the perfect map this time.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>On-Chain Guts: What the Blockchain Spills<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Forget a clean \u201cbuy\u201d or \u201csell\u201d signal from the blockchain data; it\u2019s way messier, more human than that.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Profit Taking? Yep.<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> People who bought lower are selling. Duh. SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) shows coins moving are mostly selling for more than they were bought for. Healthy, expected.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Panic? Not Really.<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Is the market absorbing these sales? Looks like it. MVRV Z-Score \u2013 think of it as comparing the current price tag to the average price everyone paid \u2013 isn\u2019t flashing red \u201cbubble\u201d warnings like it might have at previous tops. Suggests we\u2019re not wildly overheated <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">yet<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Buyers seem to be meeting sellers.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Diamond Hands Holding?<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Seems so. Bitcoin keeps bleeding off exchanges. That\u2019s typically folks moving BTC to cold storage, planning to sit tight, not prepping for a market nuke. Score one for the HODLers.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>The Mood Meter:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit\/Loss) shows the network\u2019s sitting on decent paper gains \u2013 maybe \u201cBelief\u201d building? \u2013 but we\u2019re not at that giddy \u201cEuphoria\u201d stage yet that screams cycle top. Cautious optimism, maybe?<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bottom line: The chain shows resilience. People are taking profits, but others are accumulating, and the wild mania hasn\u2019t fully kicked in.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Miners: Toughing It Out<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Spare a thought for the miners. The 2024 Halving literally halved their direct income overnight. Combine that with power costs\u2026 ouch. Yet, the network\u2019s security blanket \u2013 the hashrate \u2013 remains huge. Miners haven\u2019t just packed up and gone home en masse. Why? They must be betting heavily on higher future prices to justify burning all that electricity. High transaction fees gave them a temporary boost (remember the Runes hype?), but they need BTC\u2019s price to climb or network usage to stay high. They\u2019re showing true grit, but don\u2019t mistake that for easy street. They <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">need<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> this rally to continue.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Beyond the Chart: Bitcoin\u2019s Building Blocks &#038; Big Money<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bitcoin\u2019s more than just its price ticker. Stuff\u2019s happening under the hood.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Lightning:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Keeps getting better, making small, fast BTC payments less of a pipe dream. Actually <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">using<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Bitcoin matters.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Taproot:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Those fancy upgrades for privacy and efficiency? Still getting baked into wallets and services. It\u2019s slow groundwork for a smarter Bitcoin.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Wall Street\u2019s Shadow:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Those Spot ETFs? Massive deal. They sucked in billions initially, proving traditional players are interested. Yeah, we saw some money pull back recently \u2013 maybe cold feet about the economy, maybe just locking in ETF gains. But noise about clearer US regulations (a new SEC boss helps?) and Europe\u2019s MiCA rules could easily tempt that big institutional money back in. That\u2019s a potential tidal wave waiting.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>The Vibe Check &#038; That Macro Mess<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">You feel the shifts, right? Social media blows hot and cold. Google searches spike. When price jumps, always check the volume \u2013 weak volume is a warning sign. Right now, the Fear &#038; Greed Index took a breather after touching \u201cGreed\u201d near $95k; folks might be tapping the brakes, getting a bit wary.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Then zoom out. Inflation won\u2019t quit. Central banks keep us guessing on rates. Geopolitics are\u2026 well, messy. All this chaos makes Bitcoin\u2019s pitch \u2013 \u201cdigital gold,\u201d hedge against crazy governments \u2013 sound appealing to a wider crowd. These global currents definitely sway Bitcoin\u2019s tide.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>So, Is This <\/b><b><i>It<\/i><\/b><b>? The Straight Dope<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Look, if anyone guarantees you the 2025 bull run is baked in, walk away. They\u2019re clueless or lying. This cycle <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">is<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> playing out differently so far. Global economic storms are real. Regulators could throw a wrench in the works anytime. And big drops? They\u2019re part of the game \u2013 expect them.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BUT<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2026 That Halving cycle playbook, while maybe running late, isn\u2019t torn up yet. The on-chain data shows long-term believers are still stacking, even as others cash out. Miners are hanging on. Bitcoin\u2019s tech keeps evolving. And the sheer potential of serious institutional cash finally arriving properly looms large, especially if the rules get clearer.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The weight of evidence <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">suggests<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> we\u2019re probably building towards something bigger for late 2025 or early 2026. Think foundations being laid, not the roof going on. It won\u2019t be a straight line up. How Bitcoin handles the current zone (holding ~$90k-$93k feels important) and whether those ETF flows turn positive again will be huge tells. Keep your eyes open. Don\u2019t get rekt.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Blasting past $90k looked good. Real good. But after cooling its heels a bit around the $93k-$94k mark, the big question echoes louder: Is this really the monster 2025 bull run starting, or are we just getting played again? Forget the hopium pipes and Tarot cards; let\u2019s get real and see what the charts, the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":390607,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[230,225,221,227,226,228,229,60,223,224,222],"class_list":["post-390606","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptocurrency","tag-brave","tag-coinbase","tag-crypto","tag-decentralised","tag-decentralized","tag-decentralized-exchange","tag-erc-20","tag-featured","tag-meme-coin","tag-robinhood","tag-solana"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/390606","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=390606"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/390606\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":390608,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/390606\/revisions\/390608"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/390607"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=390606"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=390606"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dripp.zone\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=390606"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}