Crypto market analysts say increasing altcoin performance and volumes on Binance, a rising altseason index and a strengthening TOTAL2 macro structure are early signs that the market could enter an altseason in 2026. <\/p>\n
Key takeaways:<\/strong><\/p>\n Crypto analyst Darkfost said<\/span><\/a> that macroeconomic uncertainties surrounding the ongoing US and Israel-Iran war saw the altcoin sector correct by more than 50%.<\/p>\n However, the sector appears to be quietly \u201cawakening\u201d as the percentage of altcoins on Binance trading above their 200-day moving average (MA) increased to 21%, levels last seen in September 2025, suggesting that \u201cinvestor interest in altcoins appears to be gradually returning,\u201d Darkfost said in a Quicktake note on Wednesday, adding:<\/p>\n \u201cThis represents a crucial indicator for those looking to gain exposure.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n Performance of altcoins on Binance. Source: CryptoQuant<\/em><\/p>\n Darkfost cautioned that it\u2019s still too early to call for an altseason as the metric remains below the levels seen in mid-2025 and Q4 2024, when most altcoins traded between 60-80% above their 200-day MA.\u00a0<\/p>\n Meanwhile, fellow analyst CryptoOnchain pointed to<\/span><\/a> rising activity on centralized exchanges (CEX) as another sign of increasing momentum in altcoins.\u00a0<\/p>\n According to the analyst, altcoin trading volume, excluding the five largest cryptocurrencies, has increased steadily over the past few weeks.\u00a0The chart below shows the appearance of an Altcoin Volume Increasing Trend (yellow bars), which occurred when the 30-day MA for altcoin trading volume crossed above its 365-day MA.<\/p>\n Historically, when this metric flashes yellow, \u201cit signals a clear rotation of capital from major caps into mid and low-cap altcoins,\u201d the analyst said, adding:<\/p>\n \u201cIf this momentum is sustained, it could serve as a strong confirmation that a broader altcoin rally is underway.\u201d\u00a0<\/p><\/blockquote>\n CEX volume ratio vs. Top 5 crypto. Source: CryptoQuant<\/em><\/p>\n The 90-day AltSeason Index also climbed to 28.6, its highest level in months. The index tracks whether a majority of altcoins outperform Bitcoin over the last 90 days.\u00a0<\/p>\n \u201cThe altseason is starting quietly,\u201d CryptoQuant analyst CW8900 said<\/span><\/a> in a recent Quicktake note, referring to the \u201crapid rise\u201d in the index over the last few weeks, adding:<\/p>\n \u201cThe real AltSeason is approaching.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n Altcoin season index. Source: CryptoQuant<\/em><\/p>\n Although the index has been recovering, its value of 28.6 means only 28.6% of the top 50 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization have outperformed Bitcoin over the last 90 days. This falls short of the 75% “altseason” threshold, according to Blockchaincenter. <\/p>\n These include ZCash (ZEC), Bittensor (TAO) and Morphor (MORPHOR), which are up 98%, 72% and 68% over the last three months, compared to Bitcoin\u2019s (BTC) 17% gains.\u00a0<\/p>\n Top 50 Performance over the 90 days. Source: Blockchaincenter<\/em><\/p>\n CW8900 added:<\/p>\n \u201cThe indicator also shows that there was no real AltSeason in this cycle. The period when the AltSeason Index reached its highest point was early 2024, and even that value was relatively low compared to previous AltSeasons.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n Data from TradingView showed TOTAL2 \u2014 the cumulative market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies except Bitcoin \u2014 bouncing off the lower trend line of a multi-year broadening wedge that has defined its price action since mid-2022.\u00a0<\/p>\n In a Wednesday post on X, analyst cryptocupra said<\/span><\/a> TOTAL2\u2019s breakout could mirror the 2021 breakout and rise as high as $8 trillion, adding that \u201caltseason is inevitable.\u201d<\/p>\n Altcoins market cap, TOTAL3. Source: X\/1000xgirl<\/em><\/p>\n Nebraskangooner\u2019s chart showed TOTAL2 breaking above the upper boundary of an ascending triangle on the daily time frame.<\/p>\n TOTAL2 is \u201cbreaking out from this bottoming pattern, the analyst said<\/span><\/a> in a recent X post, adding:<\/p>\n \u201cAltcoin market primed for more upside as long as this breakout holds.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n TOTAL2 daily chart. Source: X\/<\/em>Nebraskangooner<\/p>\n Fellow crypto analyst GorkemCrypto also shared a bullish argument with a 2021 fractal that projects Bitcoin dominance falling to 40% as capital rotates into altcoins.<\/p>\n\n
Altcoin market shows early signs of recovery<\/h2>\n
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<\/figure>\n<\/p>\nAltcoin\u00a0 season “approaching”<\/h2>\n
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<\/figure>\n<\/p>\nAltcoins show signs of bottoming out<\/h2>\n
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