Why Are Bitcoin, XRP, and Dogecoin Price Falling Today?

Business

3 Charts That Show Bitcoin Bull is NOT Over – Crypto News

Published

1 year ago

February 25, 2025

Dripp

After a failed attempt to revisit $100K on February 21, Bitcoin (BTC) reversed. As a result, BTC price crashed 11.36% to $88K. The downtrend was exacerbated due to ByBit’s hack, but excessive leverage and cascading liquidations may have pushed Bitcoin even lower. As a result of this sudden crypto market crash, more than $900 million in positions have been wiped as Bitcoin price dropped to $90K. Despite this grim outlook, let’s discuss three Bitcoin charts that suggest the bull run is far from over.

3 Charts Point to BTC Bull Run After Bitcoin Price Crash

The first chart that hints at the continuation of the BTC bull run is the Fear and Greed Index, which has flashed extreme fear after the recent Bitcoin price crash to $90K. Although the liquidations were high, there might be another leg down in the near future. However, considering the bullish developments in the crypto ecosystem, like altcoin ETF approvals or from a regulatory standpoint, the bull run is far from over.

Moreover, during the bull run peak, the crypto markets are likely to be characterized by extreme greed rather than extreme fear.

BTC Price Crashes to $88K: 3 Charts That Show Bitcoin Bull is NOT Over — Fear and Greed Index

The second chart is the Bitcoin Power Law Cloud, which shows how the previous BTC price cycles, its standard deviation, and power law curves serve as a boundary that guides the next cycle. The Power Law chart shows that the recent Bitcoin price crash is well within the range of the model. The author is confident in this model as he states,

“Bitcoin could chop around $95k for four or five months and I’d still expect $200k+ in November. The pattern is very much intact. Get comfortable. Touch grass.”

The third macroeconomic chart in Shock’s post on X, dated February 24, 2025, displays Bitcoin price movements alongside the ISM (Institute for Supply Management) manufacturing index. The ISM is a key indicator of U.S. economic health, and imposing it on the BTC price chart shows an inverse connection.

Shock argues that selling crypto now would mean missing out on its “beauty” and potential parabolic growth.

Why Did Bitcoin Price Crash to $88?

While ByBit’s $1.5B hack may have initiated the reversal that prevented Bitcoin price from hitting $100K, excessive leverage and greed pushed BTC to $88K.

According to CryptoQuant data, the estimated leverage ratio rose from 0.235 to 0.271, a 17% uptick from February 3 to 20. During this period of Bitcoin price stagnation, the uptick in leverage denotes participants’ anticipation of a breakout. This growth shows more investors are willing to crank up the leverage with the expectations of a big win in the event of a breakout.

Although this metric crashed to 0.247 after the initial drop on February 20, it has increased to 0.270 despite Monday’s brutal crash. This suggests that the Bitcoin price is likely to crash again. A sudden crash in a high-leverage ecosystem typically leads to cascading sell orders that exacerbate the pain.

BTC Price Crashes to $90K: 3 Charts That Show Bitcoin Bull is NOT Over — Bitcoin price vs. Estimated leverage ratio

From a technical standpoint, the next key level to watch includes $93K. A rejection here could lead to a deeper correction to $88K. Such a BTC price crash could reduce the overall leverage ratio and hint at a bullish reversal.

On the other hand, a flip of the $93K hurdle into a support level enhances the bullish Bitcoin price prediction, propelling BTC to the next key resistance level of $95K.